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Handgun
Wounding Factors and Effectiveness
U.S. Department of Justice
Special Agent UREY W. PATRICK
FIREARMS TRAINING UNIT
FBI ACADEMY
QUANTICO, VIRGINIA
July 14, 1989
Forward
The selection of effective handgun
ammunition for law enforcement is a critical and complex issue. It is
critical because of that which is at stake when an officer is required to
use his handgun to protect his own life or that of another. It is complex
because of the target, a human being, is amazingly endurable and capable of
sustaining phenomenal punishment while persisting in a determined course of
action. The issue is made even more complex by the dearth of credible
research and the wealth of uninformed opinion regarding what is commonly
referred to as "stopping power".
In reality, few people have conducted
relevant research in this area, and fewer still have produced credible
information that is useful for law enforcement agencies in making informed
decisions.
This article brings together what is
believed to be the most credible information regarding wound ballistics. It
cuts through the haze and confusion, and provides common-sense,
scientifically supportable, principles by which the effectiveness of law
enforcement ammunition may be measured. It is written clearly and concisely.
The content is credible and practical. The information contained in this
article is not offered as the final word on wound ballistics. It is,
however, an important contribution to what should be an ongoing discussion
of this most important of issues.
John C. Hall
Unit Chief
Firearms Training Unit
Introduction
The handgun is the primary weapon in law
enforcement. It is the one weapon any officer or agent can be expected to
have available whenever needed. Its purpose is to apply deadly force to not
only protect the life of the officer and the lives of others, but to prevent
serious physical harm to them as well.1
When an officer shoots a subject, it is done with the explicit
intention of immediately incapacitating that subject in order to stop
whatever threat to life or physical safety is posed by the subject.
Immediate incapacitation is defined as the sudden2
physical or mental inability to pose any further risk or injury to
others.
The concept of immediate incapacitation is
the only goal of any law enforcement shooting and is the underlying
rationale for decisions regarding weapons, ammunition, calibers and
training. While this concept is subject to conflicting theories, widely held
misconceptions, and varied opinions generally distorted by personal
experiences, it is critical to the analysis and selection of weapons,
ammunition and calibers for use by law enforcement officers.3,4
Tactical Realities
Shot placement is an important, and often
cited, consideration regarding the suitability of weapons and ammunition.
However, considerations of caliber are equally important and cannot be
ignored. For example, a bullet through the central nervous system with any
caliber of ammunition is likely to be immediately incapacitating.5
Even a .22 rimfire penetrating the brain will cause immediate
incapacitation in most cases. Obviously, this does not mean the law
enforcement agency should issue .22 rimfires and train for head shots as the
primary target. The realities of shooting incidents prohibit such a
solution.
Few, if any, shooting incidents will
present the officer with an opportunity to take a careful, precisely aimed
shot at the subject’s head. Rather, shootings are characterized by their
sudden, unexpected occurrence; by rapid and unpredictable movement of both
officer and adversary; by limited and partial target opportunities; by poor
light and unforeseen obstacles; and by the life or death stress of sudden,
close, personal violence. Training is quite properly oriented towards
"center of mass" shooting. That is to say, the officer is trained
to shoot at the center of whatever is presented for a target. Proper shot
placement is a hit in the center of that part of the adversary which is
presented, regardless of anatomy or angle.
A review of law enforcement shootings
clearly suggests that regardless of the number of rounds fired in a
shooting, most of the time only one or two solid torso hits on the adversary
can be expected. This expectation is realistic because of the nature of
shooting incidents and the extreme difficulty of shooting a handgun with
precision under such dire conditions. The probability of multiple hits with
a handgun is not high. Experienced officers implicitly recognize that fact,
and when potential violence is reasonably anticipated, their preparations
are characterized by obtaining as many shoulder weapons as possible. Since
most shootings are not anticipated, the officer involved cannot be prepared
in advance with heavier armament. As a corollary tactical principle, no law
enforcement officer should ever plan to meet an expected attack armed
only with a handgun.
The handgun is the primary weapon for
defense against unexpected attack. Nevertheless, a majority of shootings
occur in manners and circumstances in which the officer either does not have
any other weapon available, or cannot get to it. The handgun must be relied
upon, and must prevail. Given the idea that one or two torso hits can be
reasonably expected in a handgun shooting incident, the ammunition used must
maximize the likelihood of immediate incapacitation.
Mechanics of Projectile
Wounding
In order to predict the likelihood of
incapacitation with any handgun round, an understanding of the mechanics of
wounding is necessary. There are four components of projectile wounding.6
Not all of these components relate to incapacitation, but each of
them must be considered. They are:
(1) Penetration. The tissue through which
the projectile passes, and which it disrupts or destroys.
(2) Permanent Cavity. The volume of space
once occupied by tissue that has been destroyed by the passage of the
projectile. This is a function of penetration and the frontal area of the
projectile. Quite simply, it is the hole left by the passage of the
bullet.
(3) Temporary Cavity. The expansion of
the permanent cavity by stretching due to the transfer of kinetic energy
during the projectile’s passage.
(4) Fragmentation. Projectile pieces or
secondary fragments of bone which are impelled outward from the permanent
cavity and may sever muscle tissues, blood vessels, etc., apart from the
permanent cavity.7,8
Fragmentation is not necessarily present in every projectile wound.
It may, or may not, occur and can be considered a secondary effect.9
Projectiles incapacitate by damaging or
destroying the central nervous system, or by causing lethal blood loss. To
the extent the wound components cause or increase the effects of these two
mechanisms, the likelihood of incapacitation increases. Because of the
impracticality of training for head shots, this examination of handgun
wounding relative to law enforcement use is focused upon torso wounds and
the probable results.
Mechanics of Handgun Wounding
All handgun wounds will combine the
components of penetration, permanent cavity, and temporary cavity to a
greater or lesser degree. Fragmentation, on the other hand, does not
reliably occur in handgun wounds due to the relatively low velocities of
handgun bullets. Fragmentation occurs reliably in high velocity projectile
wounds (impact velocity in excess of 2000 feet per second) inflicted by soft
or hollow point bullets.10 In such a
case, the permanent cavity is stretched so far, and so fast, that tearing
and rupturing can occur in tissues surrounding the wound channel which were
weakened by fragmentation damage.11,12
It can significantly increase damage13
in rifle bullet wounds.
Since the highest handgun velocities
generally do not exceed 1400-1500 feet per second (fps) at the muzzle,
reliable fragmentation could only be achieved by constructing a bullet so
frangible as to eliminate any reasonable penetration. Unfortunately, such a
bullet will break up too fast to penetrate to vital organs. The best example
is the Glaser Safety Slug, a projectile designed to break up on impact and
generate a large but shallow temporary cavity. Fackler, when asked to
estimate the survival time of someone shot in the front mid-abdomen with a
Glaser slug, responded, "About three days, and the cause of death would
be peritonitis."14
In cases where some fragmentation has
occurred in handgun wounds, the bullet fragments are generally found within
one centimeter of the permanent cavity. "The velocity of pistol
bullets, even of the new high-velocity loadings, is insufficient to cause
the shedding of lead fragments seen with rifle bullets."15
It is obvious that any additional wounding effect caused by such
fragmentation in a handgun wound is inconsequential.
Of the remaining factors, temporary cavity
is frequently, and grossly, overrated as a wounding factor when analyzing
wounds.16 Nevertheless, historically
it has been used in some cases as the primary means of assessing the
wounding effectiveness of bullets.
The most notable example is the Relative
Incapacitation Index (RII) which resulted from a study of handgun
effectiveness sponsored by the Law Enforcement Assistance Administration (LEAA).
In this study, the assumption was made that the greater the temporary
cavity, the greater the wounding effect of the round. This assumption was
based on a prior assumption that the tissue bounded by the temporary cavity
was damaged or destroyed.17
In the LEAA study, virtually every handgun
round available to law enforcement was tested. The temporary cavity was
measured, and the rounds were ranked based on the results. The depth of
penetration and the permanent cavity were ignored. The result according to
the RII is that a bullet which causes a large but shallow temporary cavity
is a better incapacitater than a bullet which causes a smaller temporary
cavity with deep penetration.
Such conclusions ignore the factors of
penetration and permanent cavity. Since vital organs are located deep within
the body, it should be obvious that to ignore penetration and permanent
cavity is to ignore the only proven means of damaging or disrupting vital
organs.
Further, the temporary cavity is caused by
the tissue being stretched away from the permanent cavity, not being
destroyed. By definition, a cavity is a space18
in which nothing exists. A temporary cavity is only a temporary space caused
by tissue being pushed aside. That same space then disappears when the
tissue returns to its original configuration.
Frequently, forensic pathologists cannot
distinguish the wound track caused by a hollow point bullet (large temporary
cavity) from that caused by a solid bullet (very small temporary cavity).
There may be no physical difference in the wounds. If there is no
fragmentation, remote damage due to temporary cavitation may be minor even
with high velocity rifle projectiles.19
Even those who have espoused the significance of temporary cavity agree that
it is not a factor in handgun wounds:
"In the case of low-velocity
missiles, e.g., pistol bullets, the bullet produces a direct path of
destruction with very little lateral extension within the surrounding
tissues. Only a small temporary cavity is produced. To cause significant
injuries to a structure, a pistol bullet must strike that structure
directly. The amount of kinetic energy lost in tissue by a pistol bullet
is insufficient to cause remote injuries produced by a high velocity rifle
bullet."20
The reason is that most tissue in the human
target is elastic in nature. Muscle, blood vessels, lung, bowels, all are
capable of substantial stretching with minimal damage. Studies have shown
that the outward velocity of the tissues in which the temporary cavity forms
is no more than one tenth of the velocity of the projectile.21
This is well within the elasticity limits of tissue such as muscle, blood
vessels, and lungs, Only inelastic tissue like liver, or the extremely
fragile tissues of the brain, would show significant damage due to temporary
cavitation.22
The tissue disruption caused by a handgun
bullet is limited to two mechanisms. The first, or crush mechanism is the
hole the bullet makes passing through the tissue. The second, or stretch
mechanism is the temporary cavity formed by the tissues being driven outward
in a radial direction away from the path of the bullet. Of the two, the
crush mechanism, the result of penetration and permanent cavity, is the only
handgun wounding mechanism which damages tissue.23
To cause significant injuries to a structure within the body using a
handgun, the bullet must penetrate the structure. Temporary cavity has no
reliable wounding effect in elastic body tissues. Temporary cavitation is
nothing more than a stretch of the tissues, generally no larger than 10
times the bullet diameter (in handgun calibers), and elastic tissues sustain
little, if any, residual damage.24,25,26
The Human Target
With the exceptions of hits to the brain or
upper spinal cord, the concept of reliable and reproducible immediate
incapacitation of the human target by gunshot wounds to the torso is a myth.27
The human target is a complex and durable one. A wide variety of
psychological, physical, and physiological factors exist, all of them
pertinent to the probability of incapacitation. However, except for the
location of the wound and the amount of tissue destroyed, none of the
factors are within the control of the law enforcement officer.
Physiologically, a determined adversary can
be stopped reliably and immediately only by a shot that disrupts the brain
or upper spinal cord. Failing a hit to the central nervous system, massive
bleeding from holes in the heart or major blood vessels of the torso causing
circulatory collapse is the only other way to force incapacitation upon an
adversary, and this takes time. For example, there is sufficient oxygen
within the brain to support full, voluntary action for 10-15 seconds after
the heart has been destroyed.28
In fact, physiological factors may actually
play a relatively minor role in achieving rapid incapacitation. Barring
central nervous system hits, there is no physiological reason for an
individual to be incapacitated by even a fatal wound, until blood loss is
sufficient to drop blood pressure and/or the brain is deprived of oxygen.
The effects of pain, which could contribute greatly to incapacitation, are
commonly delayed in the aftermath of serious injury such as a gunshot wound.
The body engages survival patterns, the well known "fight or
flight" syndrome. Pain is irrelevant to survival and is commonly
suppressed until some time later. In order to be a factor, pain must first
be perceived, and second must cause an emotional response. In many
individuals, pain is ignored even when perceived, or the response is anger
and increased resistance, not surrender.
Psychological factors are probably the most
important relative to achieving rapid incapacitation from a gunshot wound to
the torso. Awareness of the injury (often delayed by the suppression of
pain); fear of injury, death, blood, or pain; intimidation by the weapon or
the act of being shot; preconceived notions of what people do when they are
shot; or the simple desire to quit can all lead to rapid incapacitation even
from minor wounds. However, psychological factors are also the primary cause
of incapacitation failures.
The individual may be unaware of the wound
and thus has no stimuli to force a reaction. Strong will, survival instinct,
or sheer emotion such as rage or hate can keep a grievously injured
individual fighting, as is common on the battlefield and in the street. The
effects of chemicals can be powerful stimuli preventing incapacitation.
Adrenaline alone can be sufficient to keep a mortally wounded adversary
functioning. Stimulants, anesthetics, pain killers, or tranquilizers can all
prevent incapacitation by suppressing pain, awareness of the injury, or
eliminating any concerns over the injury. Drugs such as cocaine, PCP, and
heroin are disassociative in nature. One of their effects is that the
individual "exists" outside of his body. He sees and experiences
what happens to his body, but as an outside observer who can be unaffected
by it yet continue to use the body as a tool for fighting or resisting.
Psychological factors such as energy
deposit, momentum transfer, size of temporary cavity or calculations such as
the RII are irrelevant or erroneous. The impact of the bullet upon the body
is no more than the recoil of the weapon. The ratio of bullet mass to target
mass is too extreme.
The often referred to "knock-down
power" implies the ability of a bullet to move its target. This is
nothing more than momentum of the bullet. It is the transfer of momentum
that will cause a target to move in response to the blow received.
"Isaac Newton proved this to be the case mathematically in the 17th
Century, and Benjamin Robins verified it experimentally through the
invention and use of the ballistic pendulum to determine muzzle velocity by
measurement of the pendulum motion."29
Goddard amply proves the fallacy of
"knock-down power" by calculating the heights (and resultant
velocities) from which a one pound weight and a ten pound weight must be
dropped to equal the momentum of 9mm and .45ACP projectiles at muzzle
velocities, respectively. The results are revealing. In order to equal the
impact of a 9mm bullet at its muzzle velocity, a one pound weight must be
dropped from a height of 5.96 feet, achieving a velocity of 19.6 fps. To
equal the impact of a .45ACP bullet, the one pound weight needs a velocity
of 27.1 fps and must be dropped from a height of 11.4 feet. A ten pound
weight equals the impact of a 9mm bullet when dropped from a height of 0.72 inches
(velocity attained is 1.96 fps), and equals the impact of a .45 when dropped
from 1.37 inches (achieving a velocity of 2.71 fps).30
A bullet simply cannot knock a man down. If
it had the energy to do so, then equal energy would be applied against the
shooter and he too would be knocked down. This is simple physics, and has
been known for hundreds of years.31
The amount of energy deposited in the body by a bullet is
approximately equivalent to being hit with a baseball.32
Tissue damage is the only physical link to incapacitation within the desired
time frame, i.e., instantaneously.
The human target can be reliably
incapacitated only by disrupting or destroying the brain or upper spinal
cord. Absent that, incapacitation is subject to a host of variables, the
most important of which are beyond the control of the shooter.
Incapacitation becomes an eventual event, not necessarily an immediate one.
If the psychological factors which can contribute to incapacitation are
present, even a minor wound can be immediately incapacitating. If they are
not present, incapacitation can be significantly delayed even with major,
unsurvivable wounds.
Field results are a collection of
individualistic reactions on the part of each person shot which can be
analyzed and reported as percentages. However, no individual responds as a
percentage, but as an all or none phenomenon which the officer cannot
possibly predict, and which may provide misleading data upon which to
predict ammunition performance.
Ammunition Selection Criteria
The critical wounding components for
handgun ammunition, in order of importance, are penetration and permanent
cavity.33 The
bullet must penetrate sufficiently to pass through vital organs and be able
to do so from less than optimal angles. For example, a shot from the side
through an arm must penetrate at least 10-12 inches to pass through the
heart. A bullet fired from the front through the abdomen must penetrate
about 7 inches in a slender adult just to reach the major blood vessels in
the back of the abdominal cavity. Penetration must be sufficiently deep to
reach and pass through vital organs, and the permanent cavity must be large
enough to maximize tissue destruction and consequent hemorrhaging.
Several design approaches have been made in
handgun ammunition which are intended to increase the wounding effectiveness
of the bullet. Most notable of these is the use of a hollow point bullet
designed to expand on impact.
Expansion accomplishes several things. On
the positive side, it increases the frontal area of the bullet and thereby
increases the amount of tissue disintegrated in the bullet’s path. On the
negative side, expansion limits penetration. It can prevent the bullet from
penetrating to vital organs, especially if the projectile is of relatively
light mass and the penetration must be through several inches of fat,
muscle, or clothing.34
Increased bullet mass will increase
penetration. Increased velocity will increase penetration but only until the
bullet begins to deform, at which point increased velocity decreases
penetration. Permanent cavity can be increased by the use of expanding
bullets, and/or larger diameter bullets, which have adequate penetration.
However, in no case should selection of a bullet be made where bullet
expansion is necessary to achieve desired performance.35
Handgun bullets expand in the human target only 60-70% of the time at
best. Damage to the hollow point by hitting bone, glass, or other
intervening obstacles can prevent expansion. Clothing fibers can wrap the
nose of the bullet in a cocoon like manner and prevent expansion.
Insufficient impact velocity caused by short barrels and/or longer range
will prevent expansion, as will simple manufacturing variations. Expansion
must never be the basis for bullet selection, but considered a bonus when,
and if, it occurs. Bullet selection should be determined based on
penetration first, and the unexpanded diameter of the bullet second, as that
is all the shooter can reliably expect.
It is essential to bear in mind that the
single most critical factor remains penetration. While penetration up to 18
inches is preferable, a handgun bullet MUST reliably penetrate 12
inches of soft body tissue at a minimum, regardless of whether it expands or
not. If the bullet does not reliably penetrate to these depths, it is not
an effective bullet for law enforcement use.36
Given adequate penetration, a larger
diameter bullet will have an edge in wounding effectiveness. It will damage
a blood vessel the smaller projectile barely misses. The larger permanent
cavity may lead to faster blood loss. Although such an edge clearly exists,
its significance cannot be quantified.
An issue that must be addressed is the fear
of over penetration widely expressed on the part of law enforcement. The
concern that a bullet would pass through the body of a subject and injure an
innocent bystander is clearly exaggerated. Any review of law enforcement
shootings will reveal that the great majority of shots fired by officers do
not hit any subjects at all. It should be obvious that the relatively few
shots that do hit a subject are not somehow more dangerous to bystanders
than the shots that miss the subject entirely.
Also, a bullet that completely penetrates a
subject will give up a great deal of energy doing so. The skin on the exit
side of the body is tough and flexible. Experiments have shown that it has
the same resistance to bullet passage as approximately four inches of muscle
tissue.37
Choosing a bullet because of relatively
shallow penetration will seriously compromise weapon effectiveness, and
needlessly endanger the lives of the law enforcement officers using it. No
law enforcement officer has lost his life because a bullet over penetrated
his adversary, and virtually none have ever been sued for hitting an
innocent bystander through an adversary. On the other hand, tragically large
numbers of officers have been killed because their bullets did not penetrate
deeply enough.
The Allure of Shooting
Incident Analyses
There is no valid, scientific analysis of
actual shooting results in existence, or being pursued to date. It is an
unfortunate vacuum because a wealth of data exists, and new data is being
sadly generated every day. There are some well publicized, so called
analyses of shooting incidents being promoted, however, they are greatly
flawed. Conclusions are reached based on samples so small that they are
meaningless. The author of one, for example, extols the virtues of his
favorite cartridge because he has collected ten cases of one shot stops with
it.38 Preconceived notions are made
the basic assumptions on which shootings are categorized. Shooting incidents
are selectively added to the "data base" with no indication of how
many may have been passed over or why. There is no correlation between hits,
results, and the location of the hits upon vital organs.
It would be interesting to trace a
life-sized anatomical drawing on the back of a target, fire 20 rounds at the
"center of mass" of the front, then count how many of these
optimal, center of mass hits actually struck the heart, aorta, vena cava, or
liver.39 It is rapid hemorrhage from
these organs that will best increase the likelihood of incapacitation. Yet
nowhere in the popular press extolling these studies of real shootings are
we told what the bullets hit.
These so called studies are further
promoted as being somehow better and more valid than the work being done by
trained researchers, surgeons and forensic labs. They disparage laboratory
stuff, claiming that the "street" is the real laboratory and their
collection of results from the street is the real measure of caliber
effectiveness, as interpreted by them, of course. Yet their data from the
street is collected haphazardly, lacking scientific method and controls,
with no noticeable attempt to verify the less than reliable accounts of the
participants with actual investigative or forensic reports. Cases are
subjectively selected (how many are not included because they do not fit the
assumptions made?). The numbers of cases cited are statistically
meaningless, and the underlying assumptions upon which the collection of
information and its interpretation are based are themselves based on myths
such as knock-down power, energy transfer, hydrostatic shock, or the
temporary cavity methodology of flawed work such as RII.
Further, it appears that many people are
predisposed to fall down when shot. This phenomenon is independent of
caliber, bullet, or hit location, and is beyond the control of the shooter.
It can only be proven in the act, not predicted. It requires only two
factors to be effected: a shot and cognition of being shot by the target.
Lacking either one, people are not at all predisposed to fall down and
don’t. Given this predisposition, the choice of caliber and bullet is
essentially irrelevant. People largely fall down when shot, and the apparent
predisposition to do so exists with equal force among the good guys as among
the bad. The causative factors are most likely psychological in origin.
Thousands of books, movies and television shows have educated the general
population that when shot, one is supposed to fall down.
The problem, and the reason for seeking a
better cartridge for incapacitation, is that individual who is not
predisposed to fall down. Or the one who is simply unaware of having been
shot by virtue of alcohol, adrenaline, narcotics, or the simple fact that in
most cases of grievous injury the body suppresses pain for a period of time.
Lacking pain, there may be no physiological effect of being shot that can
make one aware of the wound. Thus the real problem: if such an individual is
threatening one’s life, how best to compel him to stop by shooting him?
The factors governing incapacitation of the
human target are many, and variable. The actual destruction caused by any
small arms projectile is too small in magnitude relative to the mass and
complexity of the target. If a bullet destroys about 2 ounces of tissue in
its passage through the body, that represents 0.07 of one percent of the
mass of a 180 pound man. Unless the tissue destroyed is located within the
critical areas of the central nervous system, it is physiologically
insufficient to force incapacitation upon the unwilling target. It may
certainly prove to be lethal, but a body count is no evidence of
incapacitation. Probably more people in this country have been killed by .22
rimfires than all other calibers combined, which, based on body count, would
compel the use of .22’s for self-defense. The more important question,
which is sadly seldom asked, is what did the individual do when hit?
There is a problem in trying to assess
calibers by small numbers of shootings. For example, as has been done, if a
number of shootings were collected in which only one hit was attained and
the percentage of one shot stops was then calculated, it would appear to be
a valid system. However, if a large number of people are predisposed to fall
down, the actual caliber and bullet are irrelevant. What percentage of those
stops were thus preordained by the target? How many of those targets were
not at all disposed to fall down? How many multiple shot failures to stop
occurred? What is the definition of a stop? What did the successful bullets
hit and what did the unsuccessful bullets hit? How many failures were in the
vital organs, and how many were not? How many of the successes? What is the
number of the sample? How were the cases collected? What verifications were
made to validate the information? How can the verifications be checked by
independent investigation?
Because of the extreme number of variables
within the human target, and within shooting situations in general, even a
hundred shootings is statistically insignificant. If anything can happen,
then anything will happen, and it is just as likely to occur in your ten
shootings as in ten shootings spread over a thousand incidents. Large sample
populations are absolutely necessary.
Here is an example that illustrates how
erroneous small samples can be. I flipped a penny 20 times. It came up heads
five times. A nickel flipped 20 times showed heads 8 times. A dime came up
heads 10 times and a quarter 15 times. That means if heads is the desired
result, a penny will give it to you 25% of the time, and nickel 40% of the
time, a dime 50% of the time and a quarter 75% of the time. If you want
heads, flip a quarter. If you want tails, flip a penny. But then I flipped
the quarter another 20 times and it showed heads 9 times - 45% of the time.
Now this "study" would tell you that perhaps a dime was better for
flipping heads. The whole thing is obviously wrong, but shows how small
numbers lead to statistical lies. We know the odds of getting a head or tail
are 50%, and larger numbers tend to prove it. Calculating the results for
all 100 flips regardless of the coin used shows heads came up 48% of the
time.
The greater the number and complexity of
the variables, the greater the sample needed to give meaningful information,
and a coin toss has only one simple variable – it can land heads or it can
land tails. The coin population is not complicated by a predisposition to
fall one way or the other, by chemical stimuli, psychological factors, shot
placement, bone or obstructive obstacles, etc.; all of which require even
larger numbers to evidence real differences in effects.
Although no cartridge is certain to work
all the time, surely some will work more often than others, and any edge is
desirable in one’s self defense. This is simple logic. The incidence of
failure to incapacitate will vary with the severity of the wound inflicted.40
It is safe to assume that if a target is always 100% destroyed, then
incapacitation will also occur 100% of the time. If 50% of the target is
destroyed, incapacitation will occur less reliably. Failure to incapacitate
is rare in such a case, but it can happen, and in fact has happened on the
battlefield. Incapacitation is still less rare if 25% of the target is
destroyed. Now the magnitude of bullet destruction is far less (less than 1%
of the target) but the relationship is unavoidable. The round which destroys
0.07% of the target will incapacitate more often than the one which destroys
0.04%. However, only very large numbers of shooting incidents will prove it.
The difference may be only 10 out of a thousand, but that difference is an
edge, and that edge should be on the officer’s side because one of those
ten may be the subject trying to kill him.
To judge a caliber’s effectiveness,
consider how many people hit with it failed to fall down and look at where
they were hit. Of the successes and failures, analyze how many were hit in
vital organs, rather than how many were killed or not, and correlate that
with an account of exactly what they did when they were hit. Did they fall
down, or did they run, fight, shoot, hide, crawl, stare, shrug, give up and
surrender? ONLY falling down is good. All other reactions are failures to
incapacitate, evidencing the ability to act with volition, and thus able to
choose to continue to try to inflict harm.
Those who disparage science and laboratory
methods are either too short sighted or too bound by preconceived (or
perhaps proprietary) notions to see the truth. The labs and scientists do
not offer sure things. They offer a means of indexing the damage done by a
bullet, understanding of the mechanics of damage caused by bullets and the
actual effects on the body, and the basis for making an informed choice
based on objective criteria and significant statistics.
The differences between bullets may be
small, but science can give us the means of identifying that difference. The
result is the edge all of law enforcement should be looking for. It is true
that the streets are the proving ground, but give me an idea of what you
want to prove and I will give you ten shootings from the street to prove it.
That is both easy, and irrelevant. If it can happen, it will happen.
Any shooting incident is a unique event,
unconstrained by any natural law or physical order to follow a predetermined
sequence of events or end in predetermined results. What is needed is an
edge that makes the good result more probable than the bad. Science will
quantify the information needed to make the choice to gain that edge. Large
numbers (thousands or more) from the street will provide the answer to the
question "How much of an edge?".41
Even if that edge is only 1%, it is not insignificant because the guy trying
to kill you could be in that 1%, and you won’t know it until it is too
late.
Conclusions
Physiologically, no caliber or bullet is
certain to incapacitate any individual unless the brain is hit.
Psychologically, some individuals can be incapacitated by minor or small
caliber wounds. Those individuals who are stimulated by fear, adrenaline,
drugs, alcohol, and/or sheer will and survival determination may not be
incapacitated even if mortally wounded.
The will to survive and to fight despite
horrific damage to the body is commonplace on the battlefield, and on the
street. Barring a hit to the brain, the only way to force
incapacitation is to cause sufficient blood loss that the subject can no
longer function, and that takes time. Even if the heart is instantly
destroyed, there is sufficient oxygen in the brain to support full and
complete voluntary action for 10-15 seconds.
Kinetic energy does not wound. Temporary
cavity does not wound. The much discussed "shock" of bullet impact
is a fable and "knock down" power is a myth. The critical element
is penetration. The bullet must pass through the large, blood bearing
organs and be of sufficient diameter to promote rapid bleeding. Penetration
less than 12 inches is too little, and, in the words of two of the
participants in the 1987 Wound Ballistics Workshop, "too little
penetration will get you killed." 42,43
Given desirable and reliable penetration, the only way to increase bullet
effectiveness is to increase the severity of the wound by increasing the
size of hole made by the bullet. Any bullet which will not penetrate through
vital organs from less than optimal angles is not acceptable. Of those that
will penetrate, the edge is always with the bigger bullet.44
References/Endnotes
- FBI Deadly Force Policy.
- Ideally, immediate
incapacitation occurs instantaneously.
- Fackler, M.L., MD:
"What’s Wrong with the Wound Ballistics Literature, and Why",
Letterman Army Institute of Research, Presidio of San Francisco, CA,
Report No. 239, July, 1987.
- Fackler, M.L., M.D.,
Director, Wound Ballistics Laboratory, Letterman Army Institute of
Research, Presidio of San Francisco, CA, letter: "Bullet Performance
Misconceptions", International Defense Review 3; 369-370, 1987.
- Wound Ballistic Workshop:
"9mm vs. .45 Auto", FBI Academy, Quantico, VA, September, 1987.
Conclusion of the Workshop.
- Josselson, A., MD, Armed
Forces Institute of Pathology, Walter Reed Army Medical Center,
Washington, D.C., lecture series to FBI National Academy students,
1982-1983.
- DiMaio, V.J.M.: Gunshot
Wounds, Elsevier Science Publishing Company, New York, NY, 1987:
Chapter 3, Wound Ballistics: 41-49.
- Fackler, M.L., Malinowski,
J.A.: "The Wound Profile: A Visual Method for Quantifying Gunshot
Wound Components", Journal of Trauma 25, 522-529, 1985.
- Fackler, M.L., MD:
"Missile Caused Wounds", Letterman Army Institute of Research,
Presidio of San Francisco, CA, Report No. 231, April 1987.
- Josselson, A., MD, Armed
Forces Institute of Pathology, Walter Reed Army Medical Center,
Washington, D.C., lecture series to FBI National Academy students,
1982-1983.
- Fackler, M.L., MD:
"Ballistic Injury", Annals of Emergency Medicine 15: 12 December
1986.
- Fackler, M.L., Surinchak,
J.S., Malinowski, J.A.; et.al.: "Bullet Fragmentation: A Major Cause
of Tissue Disruption", Journal of Trauma 24: 35-39, 1984.
- Fragmenting rifle bullets
in some of Fackler’s experiments have caused damage 9 centimeters from
the permanent cavity. Such remote damage is not found in handgun wounds.
Fackler stated at the Workshop that when a handgun bullet does fragment
the pieces typically are found within one centimeter of the wound track.
- Fackler, M.L., M.D.,
Director, Wound Ballistics Laboratory, Letterman Army Institute of
Research, Presidio of San Francisco, CA, letter: "Bullet Performance
Misconceptions", International Defense Review 3; 369-370, 1987.
- DiMaio, V.J.M.: Gunshot
Wounds, Elsevier Science Publishing Company, New York, NY 1987, page
47.
- Lindsay, Douglas, MD:
"The Idolatry of Velocity, or Lies, Damn Lies, and Ballistics",
Journal of Trauma 20: 1068-1069, 1980.
- Bruchey, W.J., Frank, D.E.:
Police Handgun Ammunition Incapacitation Effects, National
Institute of Justice Report 100-83. Washington, D.C., U.S. Government
Printing Office, 1984, Vol. 1: Evaluation.
- Webster’s Ninth
New Collegiate Dictionary,
Merriam-Webster Inc., Springfield MA, 1986: "An unfilled space within
a mass."
- Fackler, M.L., Surinchak,
J.S., Malinowski, J.A.; et.al.: "Bullet Fragmentation: A Major Cause
of Tissue Disruption", Journal of Trauma 24: 35-39, 1984.
- DiMaio, V.J.M.: Gunshot
Wounds, Elsevier Science Publishing Company, New York, NY 1987, page
42.
- Fackler, M.L., Surinchak,
J.S., Malinowski, J.A.; et.al.: "Bullet Fragmentation: A Major Cause
of Tissue Disruption", Journal of Trauma 24: 35-39, 1984.
- Fackler, M.L., MD:
"Ballistic Injury", Annals of Emergency Medicine 15: 12 December
1986.
- Wound Ballistic Workshop:
"9mm vs. .45 Auto", FBI Academy, Quantico, VA, September, 1987.
Conclusion of the Workshop.
- Fackler, M.L., MD:
"Ballistic Injury", Annals of Emergency Medicine 15: 12 December
1986.
- Fackler, M.L., Malinowski,
J.A.: "The Wound Profile: A Visual Method for Quantifying Gunshot
Wound Components", Journal of Trauma 25: 522-529, 1985.
- Lindsay, Douglas, MD:
"The Idolatry of Velocity, or Lies, Damn Lies, and Ballistics",
Journal of Trauma 20: 1068-1069, 1980.
- Wound Ballistic Workshop:
"9mm vs. .45 Auto", FBI Academy, Quantico, VA, September 1987.
Conclusion of the Workshop.
- Wound Ballistic Workshop:
"9mm vs. .45 Auto", FBI Academy, Quantico, VA, September 1987.
Conclusion of the Workshop.
- Goddard, Stanley:
"Some Issues for Consideration in Choosing Between 9mm and .45ACP
Handguns", Battelle Labs, Ballistic Sciences, Ordnance Systems and
Technology Section, Columbus, OH, presented to the FBI Academy, 2/16/88,
pages 3-4.
- Goddard, Stanley:
"Some Issues for Consideration in Choosing Between 9mm and .45ACP
Handguns", Battelle Labs, Ballistic Sciences, Ordnance Systems and
Technology Section, Columbus, OH, presented to the FBI Academy, 2/16/88,
pages 3-4.
- Newton, Sir Isaac, Principia
Mathematica, 1687, in which are stated Newton’s Laws of Motion. The
Second Law of Motion states that a body will accelerate, or change its
speed, at a rate that is proportional to the force acting upon it. In
simpler terms, for every action there is an equal but opposite reaction.
The acceleration will of course be in inverse proportion to the mass of
the body. For example, the same force acting upon a body of twice the mass
will produce exactly half the acceleration.
- Lindsay, Douglas, MD,
presentation to the Wound Ballistics Workshop, Quantico, VA, 1987.
- Wound Ballistic Workshop:
"9mm vs. .45 Auto", FBI Academy, Quantico, VA, September, 1987.
Conclusion of the Workshop.
- Jones, J.A.: Police
Handgun Ammunition. Southwestern Institute of Forensic Sciences at Dallas,
523D Medical Center Drive, Dallas, TX, 1985.
- Wound Ballistic Workshop:
"9mm vs. .45 Auto", FBI Academy, Quantico, VA, September, 1987.
Conclusion of the Workshop.
- Wound Ballistic Workshop:
"9mm vs. .45 Auto", FBI Academy, Quantico, VA, September 1987.
Conclusion of the Workshop.
- Fackler, M.L., M.D.,
Director, Wound Ballistics Laboratory, Letterman Army Institute of
Research, Presidio of San Francisco, CA, letter: "Bullet Performance
Misconceptions", International Defense Review 3; 369-370, 1987.
- He defines a one shot stop
as one in which the subject dropped, gave up, or did not run more than 10
feet.
- This exercise was
suggested by Dr. Martin L. Fackler, U.S. Army Wound Ballistics Laboratory,
Letterman Army Institute of Research, San Francisco, California, as a way
to demonstrate the problematical results of even the best results sought
in training, i.e., shots to the center of mass of a target. It illustrates
the very small actually critical areas within the relatively vast mass of
the human target.
- Severity is a function of
location, depth, and amount of tissue destroyed.
- The numbers can be held
down to reasonable limits by a scientific approach that collects objective
information from investigative and forensic sources and sorts it by vital
organs struck and target reactions to being hit. The critical questions
are what damage was done and what was the reaction of the adversary.
- Fackler, M.L., MD,
presentation to the Wound Ballistics Workshop, Quantico, VA, 1987.
- Smith, O’Brien C., MD,
presentation to the Wound Ballistics Workshop, Quantico, VA, 1987.
-
Fackler, M.L.,
MD, presentation to the Wound Ballistics Workshop, Quantico, VA, 1987.
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